>those are some real bigs who i'd take over noel all day long. i value their rebounding and shotblocking abilities to limit the opponents to one shot but also their ability to play man defense. ask noel to check a zach randolph all game long and we'll see our defense collapse sending another defender to help him. was just watching the highlight video with a guard putting their shoulder into him dislodging him wasn't very encouraging. anyhow, don't we have a thin shot blocker on our team already (moreland)?
I think you're forgetting that DeMarcus Cousins has grown into one of the premier defensive centers in the league. He's also third in the league and rebounds and very close to the top 10 in blocks. What we don't have is a weakside shotblocker that can rotate and erase mistakes. Maybe Noel can't hold his position in the post against a bruiser like Randolph, but his defensive value is so much bigger than most dedicated shotblockers because he can guard every other position. And he's not as bad as you think one-on-one in the post. Watch how he defends Dwight Howard here:
Howard was 5-8 from the field and 1-4 from the line for 11 pts in that game. I used to wonder how 6'6" Ben Wallace could possibly guard 7' centers in the 90s, and then I watched him play. You don't have to block a shot if you steal the entry pass and he was the best I've ever seen at poking the ball loose before it could get into the post. Watch Noel play a few games and you can see why he gets so many steals -- he's very good at reading the ballhandler and anticipating where the ball is going to go.
He does the same thing to Pekovic here (@ 38s and @ 1:10):
Even when Pekovic catches the ball right next to the basket, Noel was able to outmaneuver him here and block the shot (@ 1:01). He also gets an easy basket just by beating everyone else down the floor (the first play in the video @ 8s). I expect him to hold his own against stronger opponents mostly by playing ball denial defense and using his long arms to bother their shot. Where the lack of strength is really going to hurt him is on the boards. Against bigger opponents you can see him just get pushed out of the way trying to box out.
Like I said, he has some definite weaknesses. But what he can do is so unique and so important to team defense, that I'm more than willing to overlook the 3 or 4 teams in the league which present a significant matchup problem. Watch what he does on this play (fast forward to 11s):
That right there is why I'm so high on his defensive potential. How many times have you seen a long-armed 6'11" shot blocking force poke the ball loose on the perimeter, dive on it, and create a fast break for his team? He's a playmaker on defense the same way that a PG can be a playmaker on offense -- he reads the floor, anticipates the other team's moves, and uses his quick hands and feet to put himself in the path of the ball.